As the years go by, there appears to be more and more young people in the college classroom with this type of "brain lock" or limitation--lack of system 2 thinking. Their responses are formulaic and nothing seems to stir them out of their comfort zone, apathy, or challenge their black and white, locked, belief systems. Indeed it is near impossible to get them to understand that they are full of belief systems/ideologies--acceptance of ideas without evidence, and that it is an important skill to develop critical analytical thinking skills.I have observed many individuals who do not seem to have a real "system 2" at all. Everything that goes through their alleged "conscious mind" is little more than programmed thought loops put there by their familial and social upbringing and environment. Such people seem to live in a constant state of "splitting" where everything is always black or white. They think and talk in cliches and nothing seems to be able to break through this.
Apart from characteropathy through brain injury, and imprinting that puts a strangehold on higher cognitive processes, I thought of one other thing with regard to this.Laura said:I have observed many individuals who do not seem to have a real "system 2" at all. Everything that goes through their alleged "conscious mind" is little more than programmed thought loops put there by their familial and social upbringing and environment. Such people seem to live in a constant state of "splitting" where everything is always black or white. They think and talk in cliches and nothing seems to be able to break through this.
Kahneman gives a considerable weight to luck and "unseen forces" [my words] in his explanations about the performance of golfer's, athletes' and companies that the success / failure ratio naturally balances toward the mean.I intentionally told this tale blandly, but you get the idea: there is a very
good story here. Fleshed out in more detail, the story could give you the
sense that you understand what made Google succeed; it would also
make you feel that you have learned a valuable general lesson about what
makes businesses succeed. Unfortunately, there is good reason to believe
that your sense of understanding and learning from the Google story is
largely illusory. The ultimate test of an explanation is whether it would have
made the event predictable in advance. No story of Google’s unlikely
success will meet that test, because no story can include the myriad of
events that would have caused a different outcome. The human mind does
not deal well with nonevents. The fact that many of the important events that
did occur involve choices further tempts you to exaggerate the role of skill
and underestimate the part that luck played in the outcome. Because every
critical decision turned out well, the record suggests almost flawless
prescience—but bad luck could have disrupted any one of the successful
steps. The halo effect adds the final touches, lending an aura of invincibility
to the heroes of the story.
Like watching a skilled
It's as if luck and strange accidents sketch out a large God's hand reaching into the Laboratory Glovebox to make the necessary modifications for the Grand Experiment to continue the way that pleases the Unseen Controllers .Q: (L) At one point in a previous transmission it was stated that the Lizard beings altered the human race after a battle for their own "feeding" purposes. Could you clarify this?
A: It would not be possible for these beings to completely control your existence. If it were you would not be able to do the things your race has done. There has been interference by the Lizard beings in the physical structure of the human beings for their own benefit. Remember what we told you before. They have been interfering with the time cycle experienced on this plane, for quite some time as you measure it. For 74 thousand years they have been interfering in a backwards and forwards time reference manner in order to set up circumstances that they perceive to be beneficial for them in the measure of time that you would consider to be forward, that is, in the future. They have been going backwards and forwards in time to do this. They are suspended in the time cycle as they do this. So what they perceive as being your equivalent of one hour could be as long as 74 thousand years.
Q: (L) So they haven't been here for 300 thousand years?
A: They originally set up circumstances for their benefit 309 thousand years ago, however, they have been using the particular bracketed period of the 74 thousand year period alter things in all the various ways mentioned earlier.
Kahneman and Tversky repeatedly made the mistake of challenging Gerd Gigerenzer's work. In answering that challenge in order to set the record straight, Gerd was forced to point out how legitimacy is gained by some psychological studies that create the problems they find. Here is just one of his papers that address that issue:lilies said:Finally finished. Contestant for the most boring book I ever read. Compared to this Ponerology was an exciting page-turner. Maybe Kahneman did an excellent job to make these subjects interesting, judging from the sources he cites.
Toward the end of the reading I observed an interesting effect: a feeling of rising above the agonizing boredom surrounding these statistical topics and became hungry for something more.
I think that could be worked on the SEO(search engine optimization).happyliza said:I am sure she has based her method on this book!
I am not looking at dating sites! But would be an interesting experiment if FOTCM forum could come up with a method of using such algorithms to cast an accurate net to help those like-minded people find us that have not yet managed to do so before TSHTF. There are many people joining us now so perhaps many people have also been searching but not found the right lighthouse yet? Could it be possible to use algorithms as a Lighthouse project?
Search engine optimization (SEO) is the process of affecting the visibility of a website or a web page in a search engine's "natural" or un-paid ("organic") search results. In general, the earlier (or higher ranked on the search results page), and more frequently a site appears in the search results list, the more visitors it will receive from the search engine's users. SEO may target different kinds of search, including image search, local search, video search, academic search, news search and industry-specific vertical search engines.
I stumbled upon this "riddle", in the first post of the thread; I would like to solve it by myself and understand...If it takes 5 machines 5 minutes to make 5 widgets, how long will it take 100 machines to make 100 widgets?
We are free to assume either possibility since it is not explicitly mentioned in the riddle which is true. You can solve it with either possibility and see if the answer is the same.know_yourself said:I stumbled upon this "riddle", in the first post of the thread; I would like to solve it by myself and understand...If it takes 5 machines 5 minutes to make 5 widgets, how long will it take 100 machines to make 100 widgets?
I would like to ask you if, in this case, "one machine produces one widget", or are the 5 widgets the general output of the 5 machine's work.
It is only in the application of knowledge gained by reading books that anything changes.