The Ice Age Cometh! Forget Global Warming!

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New Yorkers in the western part of the state are still being slammed with a massive snowstorm that has shut down roads, triggered driving bans and canceled flights the weekend before the Thanksgiving holiday.

By Friday evening, 5.5 feet of snow had covered streets in the town of Orchard Park, New York, near Buffalo in hard-hit Erie County, according to the National Weather Service. As the snowfall intensified, two county residents died from cardiac complications related to shoveling and attempting to clear the grounds, said County Executive Mark Poloncarz.

"We send our deepest sympathies and remind all that this snow is very heavy and dangerous," Poloncarz said.


Forecasters and officials have been sounding the alarm on the life-threatening nature of this snowstorm, which has the potential to be historic even for the Buffalo region where heavy snow is the norm during winter months. And the forceful snowfall is expected to continue through the weekend with little periods of relief.

"Historic snowfall exceeding 4 feet will be possible south of Buffalo, New York. Very cold air will accompany this event with temperatures 20 degrees below normal forecast by the weekend," the National Weather Service wrote Friday.

Areas northeast of Lake Ontario - from central Jefferson County to northern Lewis County - were being inundated with heavy snow late Friday, when the snowfall rate was up to 3 inches per hour, according to the weather service in Buffalo. Places between Watertown and Harrisville were also seeing treacherous conditions.

"Travel will be extremely difficult, if not nearly impossible. ... Visibility will be near zero at times with deep snow cover on roads," the local weather service warned.

Dozens of flights arriving and departing from Buffalo Niagara International Airport were canceled as storm conditions worsened, according to the airport's website.

A new daily snowfall record of 13.9 inches Saturday was set at the airport, nearly doubling the 7.6 inches seen on the same date in 2014, according to the local weather service. This month is also Buffalo's third snowiest November, with 29.3 inches recorded for the entire month, the weather service added.

Heavy snow is expected to continue smashing the Buffalo region early Saturday, with some respite Saturday afternoon as the storm moves farther north. A final bout is expected through Saturday evening and into the overnight hours before snow tapers off early Sunday.

County official: Do not ignore travel bans

The colossal storm has been pounding the region for days, prompting local and state officials to issue states of emergencies to bolster response. But with a storm that big, it only takes one or two vehicles to slow down clearing operations, Poloncarz noted.

"A reminder to all employers: if your business is located in a driving ban area or your employees are currently in a driving ban area, it is illegal to make them come into work," Poloncarz said online.

The snowstorm, which came with a forecast for the Buffalo region not seen in more than 20 years, has been making travel miserable for many drivers, despite authorities' emphasis on staying off the roads.

"I can say that our deputies have been just absolutely inundated with calls for service as it pertains to disabled motor vehicles and stranded motorists," Erie County Undersheriff William J. Cooley said during a news conference Friday night. "We implore the residents to just, please, obey the travel ban, you become part of the problem very quickly when you're out there on the streets."

A loader on Friday digs out a parking lot in Hamburg, New York, after an intense lake effect snow storm dumped several feet of snow around Buffalo and surrounding suburbs.
© John Normile/Getty Image
A loader on Friday digs out a parking lot in Hamburg, New York, after an intense lake effect snow storm dumped several feet of snow around Buffalo and surrounding suburbs.

Erie County issued a combination of travel bans and travel advisories that remain in effect as of 9 p.m. Friday, including a travel ban for the southern portion of Buffalo.

"This is an event that has hit the south towns with a vengeance, very hard and all these communities are in a state of emergency at this point," Poloncarz said.

More than 300 citations were issued to drivers who violated the travel ban, Poloncarz said late Friday.

"Please, do not be the reason that an ambulance cannot get to the hospital," he said. "There are many vehicles that are not only getting stuck but are just being abandoned by the owners."

Poloncarz underscored the danger the storm is unleashing in communities, pointing out the impacts of heavy snow that are exacerbated by sheets of ice underneath it.

"There are vehicles stuck on roads who should not be driving. There are even some snow plows getting stuck in the worst parts of the storm. Do not drive if there is a travel ban," said Poloncarz, adding that most residents have adhered to the ban.

Snow has been falling for an extended period of time at rapid pace, making it difficult for crews to respond.

"In some cases, we are going to far surpass five feet of snow and that's in a 21-hour period of time," said Bill Geary, the county's public works commissioner. "It's a remarkable amount of time."

Blasdell, about eight miles from Buffalo, recorded 65 inches as of 8:30 p.m Friday, according to the National Weather Service. Several locations in the region were hit with at least 3 to 4 feet of snow, including Hamburg (51 inches), Elma (48 inches), East Aurora (43.7 inches) and West Seneca (36 inches).
 
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Extreme cold records continue to tumble at the South Pole. Three recent days – November 16th, 17th and 18th – have recorded a daily record, with the 18th plunging to –45.2°C, compared with –44.7°C on the same day in 1987. The records follow the six-month winter of 2020-21, which was the coldest since records began in 1957. Inexplicably, all these facts and trends have escaped reporting in the mainstream media. The excuse might be that it is just weather, and temperatures have always moved up and down. But the excuse doesn’t seem to apply to the July 19th U.K. high of 40.3°C at RAF Coningsby, recorded at the side of the runway used by after-burning Typhoon jets. This record high has barely been out of the Net Zero headlines ever since.

In fact, anything getting colder barely gets a look-in these days. Arctic sea ice is making a significant, near silent comeback. Summer ice at the end of September covered 4.92 million square kilometres, which was 1.35 million sq kms higher than the 2012 low. Over on land, the Greenland ice sheet may have increased in size over the last year to August 2022. Meanwhile, the zoologist Dr. Susan Crockford has reported that this is the fifth year out of the last seven that enough sea ice has formed along the west coast of Hudson Bay by mid-November for hunting polar bears to be able to head out to the ice, “just as it did in the 1980s”.

Of course, it has been a very bad year for climate catastrophists all round. Coral is growing on the Great Barrier Reef with a vengeance, just a few years after journalists and their ‘experts’ warned it was likely to disappear. According to the latest satellite data, the global temperature hasn’t moved for over eight years. A little extra carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has led to significant ‘greening’ of the planet, a process that over the last 30 years has undoubtedly reduced world hunger and famine. Sir David Attenborough recently ran a series of six Frozen Planet II green propaganda films featuring a variety of ‘modelled’ climate catastrophes. Notable was the claim that all the Arctic summer sea ice could be gone by 2035. In addition, he highlighted a colony of Adelie penguins in western Antarctica, whose numbers were said to have fallen over 40 years from 20,000 to just 400 breeding pairs, apparently due to climate change. Missing from the narrative was the more cheerful news that a colony of 1.5 million Adelies had recently been discovered on the eastern side of the continent.

Since all the recent poster scares are fast disappearing, there is increasing emphasis on ‘attributing’ single event bad weather to climate change, or to the climate crisis/emergency/breakdown – the new agitprop words used to disguise the fact that global temperatures, with or without CO2’s help, ran out of steam over two decades ago.

Long-serving Guardian activist Fiona Harvey told a recent edition of the BBC Media Show that writers can be impartial and present the facts, and the facts were that ‘scientists’ have told us that we are on a precipice and are facing tipping points that will make the planet uninhabitable. But whose ‘facts’ is she reporting? Again, as the Daily Sceptic has shown, the command-and-control Net Zero agenda is driven by politicised science and often derived from flawed climate models, corrupt surface temperature databases and invented weather ‘attribution’ stories. When the Guardian quotes ’scientists’, it is often referring to practitioners of observational disciplines such as geography, where modelled ‘impact’ predictions are widely promoted.

In the course of her interview, Harvey repeated the debunked untruth that 30% of Pakistan had been inundated as a result of recent monsoon floods. The actual figure in this mountainous country was easily checked from NASA data and was about 8%. Referring to the general narrative around climate change and the need to keep to 1.5°C of warming, she noted that if that didn’t strike you as a story, “you shouldn’t be a journalist”. A better story, of course, might be asking who invented the 1.5°C figure in the first place – and why?

Many people such as Harvey state they are journalists, not activists, but the evidence is growing that that pass has long been sold in many areas of mainstream communication and media. Cardiff University sociologist Dr. Aaron Thierry argues that universities should allow academics to spend at least 10% of their time on “advocacy and engagement with policy processes”. In his view, “those with the greatest knowledge and understanding of these crises have a moral obligation to provide leadership and engage in advocacy and activism”.

The Australian geologist Professor Ian Plimer gives short shrift to all the lies and obfuscations surround settled climate science. If it had been proved that human emissions of carbon dioxide drive global warming, “there would be endless citation of the dozen or so seminal scientific papers demonstrating this proof”. Instead, he notes, there is a “deafening silence”. Climate cycles have not changed because humans are alive today, “and cannot be changed by feelings, ideology or legislation”. He also noted: “Bearers of validated facts are denigrated, cancelled and deemed controversial by those who have no counterargument, no ability to critically analyse, and who rely on self-interest and feelings.”

Put out in the cold, you might say – just like all those inconvenient South Pole temperature records.

Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor.
 


New method for determination of past climate data on land applied comparatively for the first time / Ice Age summers in Central Europe were at times warmer than previously known.

Peer-Reviewed Publication

JOHANNES GUTENBERG UNIVERSITAET MAINZ

ECGs
IMAGE: EARTHWORM CALCITE GRANULES (ECGS) CAN BE FOUND IN LOESS SEQUENCES view more
CREDIT: PHOTO/©: CHARLOTTE PRUD’HOMME
New method for determination of past climate data on land applied comparatively for the first time / Ice Age summers in Central Europe were at times warmer than previously known

Scientists from an international research project led by Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz (JGU) have applied a new method to reconstruct past climate. As they report in the current issue of Communications Earth & Environment, they have determined temperatures and precipitation during the last Ice Age, which peaked about 25,000 years ago, by analyzing earthworm granules. “The new method was discovered at Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne and further developed at the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry,” said Dr. Peter Fischer of JGU’s Institute of Geography, who was the lead investigator of the TerraClime project funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG) in which the study is embedded. “In cooperation with other scientists, including researchers from the University of Lausanne and Römisch-Germanisches Zentralmuseum, we used the method to reconstruct the climate at Schwalbenberg near Remagen and Nußloch near Heidelberg.” The two sites form well-developed last-glacial dust deposits. The so-called loess contains sequences dating from 45,000 to 22,000 years before present, in which the earthworm granules with up to about only 2.5 millimeters in size can be found throughout. These calcitic granules, technically known as Earthworm Calcite Granules (ECGs), are secreted daily by earthworms. Using the so-called radiocarbon method, which is based on the decay of the naturally occurring radioactive carbon isotope (14C), researchers can precisely determine their age. Additionally, by analyzing the ratios of stable oxygen and carbon isotopes in the ECGs, it is then possible to reconstruct how warm or how humid it was at the time of their formation.

Summer temperatures were higher than previously thought and humidity was significantly reduced

“Analysis of the data obtained from the ECGs shows that from 45,000 to 22,000 years before present it was much drier in Central Europe than it is today, with up to 70 percent less humidity,” said Dr. Charlotte Prud’homme from the University of Lausanne, the study’s lead author. “This allows us for the first time to quantify previous findings about this period.” The novelty in these investigations on ECGs is that summer temperatures at the time were significantly higher than previously thought. “Although summers during the cold maximum of the last glacial were about four to eleven degrees Celsius colder than today, they were only one to four degrees below the values of short milder climatic phases that occurred during the last glacial,” explained Fischer. “Given these summer temperatures, we cannot exclude that Ice Age human populations may have made a seasonal living in Central Europe during the cold maximum, at a time for which it is generally assumed that humans could not survive here,” added Dr. Olaf Jöris of Römisch-Germanisches-Zentralmuseum, who was also involved in the study.

“Until now, reconstructions of Ice Age climate have been mainly based on the analyses of microorganisms in deep-sea deposits,” stated Fischer. For the continents, corresponding comprehensive data have been lacking so far, which can be changed with the new method: “Since ECGs can be found in many loess sequences, temperatures and precipitation of the past can now be determined on land over a large area. One main aim is to build a database that can be used to precisely quantify past climate changes on land and to identify force feedback mechanisms. Incorporating land-based climate data will increase the database and contribute to improve existing climate modelling and thus provide valuable insights for future climate change.”

The German Research Foundation funded the TerraClime project including the ECG dating with around EUR 400,000.

Related links:
https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/337232800?language=en – DFG project “TerraClime” ;
https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/439443769?language=en – DFG project for the dating of the ECGs


DOI​

10.1038/s43247-022-00595-3

ARTICLE TITLE​

Millennial-scale quantitative estimates of climate dynamics in central Europe from earthworm calcite granules in loess deposits

ARTICLE PUBLICATION DATE​

21-Nov-2022
 
Just a month out from the summer equinox down under.
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Late heavy spring snowfall in Australia & New Zealand - foot of snow reported

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There's been more snowfall for Australia and New Zealand just over a week until the start of meteorological summertime there.

In Australia, where the2022 ski season ended in early October, the latest snowfalls, although among the heaviest yet, follow a series of regular dumps that have continued over the past month.

Ski areas including Falls Creek (pictured below on 22 November), Mt Hotham (above) and Perisher reported 25-30cm (10-12") more snowfall in the past 24 hours.

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Entire Season Of Snow Could Dump On Texas Panhandle; Pipeline Operators Warned About 'Freak Storm'​


"The Texas Railroad Commission warned oil and gas operators across the Midland-Odessa and Panhandle regions about wintry precipitation through Friday."

"The combination of high winds and heavy wet snow through Thursday night into Friday will create whiteout conditions which will make travel extremely dangerous," local news ABC 7 said."

 

Mongolia warns of extreme cold in coming week​

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Large parts of Mongolia are expected to see extreme cold from the coming Monday and through the entire week, with expected overnight temperatures of 39 to 47 degrees Celsius below zero, the country's weather agency said Friday.

The weather agency said that heavy snow and snow storms are hitting the country's eastern and western parts, urging the public, especially nomadic herders and drivers, to take extra precautions against possible disasters.

Mongolia's climate is strongly continental, with long and frigid winters. A temperature of minus 25 degrees Celsius is standard during winter. Unstable weather events are also common in the country throughout the year.

 
Noteworthy records.


December could be much colder than the usual norm for North America and Canada.

Though the others say differently. So are we being set up?


Nutrien's Morning Minute - Nov 22, 2022
Nutrien Ag Solutions

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Side-note:
 

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At the time of posting it is night over Asia, but still moving back and forth a few hours does not change much, and it is cold:
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I saw somewhere that the strip of cold should land on Europe on December 6. For the moment Meteo France predict min 2°C and max 8°C for Paris which is far from apocalyptic. Let see how it evolve and if they are right.

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NEW STUDY: CLIMATE MODELS GOT IT WRONG, EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN IS COOLING, LA NIÑA WINTERS COULD KEEP ON COMING

NOVEMBER 23, 2022 CAP ALLON

Earth’s climate system is unfathomably complex. Only a small percentage of the variables have been factored into the UN-funded models. A machine is only as good as the person that built it.

A new research paper has found ‘real world’ temperature differences in the Eastern Pacific Ocean that vary wildly from what the climate models say should be happening.
The study also suggests that La Niñas –the colder counterpart of El Niños– could keep on coming, adding to the climatic woes that the phenomenon delivers, which is to say harsher winters for much of the Northern Hemisphere, and heavy precipitation for the likes of Australia.

The global warming hypothesis favors El Niños, it always has.

The models decreed that El Niño’s would be the dominate ENSO pattern moving forward, correlating with rising global temperatures; the cold, deep ocean waters off South America were expected to rise to the surface, meet milder air and heat faster than the warmer ocean off Asia; this, in turn, would then decrease the temperature difference across the tropical Pacific and lighten the surface winds blowing toward Indonesia — aka, a El Niño setup.

Historical climate records confirm that during prior warm spells, Earth’s climate was more El Niño-like.

In recent years, however, La Niñas have been the dominant setup. In fact, the Northern Hemisphere is about to endure its third consecutive La Niña winter, something that has only occurred four times since 1900, and only twice since 1950.
So what’s going on? Is Earth now cooling?

The recent study, ‘Systematic Climate Model Biases in the Large-Scale Patterns of Recent Sea-Surface Temperature and Sea-Level Pressure Change’, looked at temperatures at the surface of the ocean recorded by ships and buoys from 1979 to 2020.

It was discovered that the Pacific Ocean off South America had actually cooled over that time, along with ocean regions farther south, too. This cannot be explained by the climate models. To put it delicately, big pieces of the puzzle are missing.

Like the sun, maybe?


The upshot of this ‘unexpected’ reality is that the temperature difference between the eastern and western Pacific has grown, instead of shrunk as was prophesied; the surface winds blowing toward Indonesia have strengthened, not weakened; and residents of the NH are enduring their third consecutive La Niña winter, instead of its warmer counterpart, El Niño.

The climate models –that our ‘betters’ base their world-reshaping policy decisions on– have gotten it entirely backwards.

The researchers openly admit that they don’t know why this pattern is happening. Lead author Robert Wills, a UW research scientist in atmospheric sciences, said his team are now exploring possible links to the Antarctic ocean, which is also cooling.

“There’s something about the regional variation, the spatial pattern of warming in the tropical oceans, that is off,” said Wills, of the models. “If it turns out to be natural long-term cycles, maybe we can expect it to switch in the next five to ten years, but if it is a long-term trend due to some processes that are not well represented in the climate models, then it would be longer. Some mechanisms have a switch that would happen over the next few decades, but others could be a century or longer,” he added.

Let that sink in…

Also note that the study only ran to 2020, so didn’t have the data for the two most-recent La Nina winters where a further intensification of the cooling has been noted.

Honest climate scientists admit that there are serious issues with the models, the biggest being ‘clouds’ — they simply haven’t properly accounted for them/don’t understand them.

“All models are wrong, but some models are useful,” so the quote goes. Well, thus far, climate models are seemingly only useful for pushing warped, antihuman, globalist agendas — they have provenly failed in every other regard.
 

Global Warming? Northern Hemisphere Snow Cover At 56-Year High

BY TYLER DURDEN

SATURDAY, DEC 03, 2022 - 01:00 PM

NOAA and Rutgers University released new data that showed snow cover across the Northern Hemisphere reached the highest level since measurements began in 1967 and are currently above the 56-year mean.

 

Caltrans remote video traffic camera, traffic moves slowly through the snowy
© Caltrans
In this image taken from video from a Caltrans remote video traffic camera, traffic moves slowly through the snowy conditions along Interstate 80 near Truckee, California, Thursday, Dec. 1, 2022.

It was a snowy start to meteorological winter across the mountains of California Thursday as a winter storm tracked across the state, and AccuWeather forecasters say that more snow is on the way.

The storm arrived in Northern California late Wednesday and continued throughout Thursday, delivering much-needed rain to the lower elevations. San Francisco International Airport measured 0.71 of an inch of rain on Thursday, nearly half of the 1.58 inches of rain that fell in all of November.

A yardstick was needed to measure the snow in the higher elevations with snow causing travel-related headaches for drivers across the region.

Interstate 80 at Donner Pass and Highway 50 at Echo Summit were closed periodically throughout the storm due to vehicles stuck on the snowpacked roads, but the roads have since been reopened to traffic.


The early-season snowfall was a boon for ski resorts across the region, including Mammoth Mountain, located 100 miles southeast of Lake Tahoe.

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More than 2 feet of snow fell over the resort in just 24 hours, leading to excellent conditions on the mountain.


"We have a beautiful powder day upon us with a storm total of 23-30 [inches], conditions are going to be incredibly fun," Mammoth Mountain said on its website Friday.

The highest snow report came from Sierra at Tahoe where 43 inches accumulated.

The snow was accompanied by strong winds, including a 123-mph gust at Washeshu Peak, California.
The hurricane-force wind gusts were not limited to California, as gusts over 80 mph were clocked in Utah and Colorado.

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"Feet of new snow and strong winds will overload an already weak snowpack and result in very dangerous avalanche conditions in the mountains," the Sierra Avalanche Center warned, according to a report from The Associated Press.

Skiers and snowboarders heading to the slopes may encounter disruptions due to avalanche mitigation efforts.

Another dose of rain and mountain snow is headed toward California this weekend, with snowfall accumulations of a foot or more once again expected in the higher elevations.

The new storm will also bring more meaningful rain to the lower elevations, including portions of Southern California.


China Peak Mountain Resort sees at least 2 feet of snow, expecting more

China Peak Mountain Resort
© China Peak Mountain Resort website.
There is good news for those who like to hit the slopes.

Officials at China Peak Mountain Resort said they saw some pretty consistent snowfall since around 3:30 p.m. on Thursday, December 1st. As of Friday, December 2nd, they have gained nearly two feet of snow since Thursday morning and they are expecting much more through the weekend.

Resort operator Tim Cohee says that China Peak will be open Saturday, December 3rd and Sunday, December 4th. In total, he says he's expecting anywhere from six to eight feet of snow by Sunday night.
 
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Mammoth Mountain in California just got some major snow - almost 5 FEET in 5 days

Those are windshield wipers... we think. Mammoth Mountain received almost five feet of snow over the first five days of December 2022
© Peter Morning/Mammoth Mountain
Those are windshield wipers... we think. Mammoth Mountain received almost five feet of snow over the first five days of December 2022
We know the names of the seasons — spring, summer, fall, and winter — and we know the catchy nicknames for shorter stretches of the year, with "swimsuit season" and "jacaranda season" and "county fair season" and several other memorable monikers catching our fancy.

But up around Mammoth Mountain? The beginning of "things poking out of lots of snow season" has officially arrived with the major storm that swept through over the first weekend of December 2022.

If you know the Eastern Sierra ski destination, you know that when a lot of snowflakes fall, you're bound to see the tops of various items sticking out of snow drifts and snow banks, with windshield wipers, fence posts, and the famous mountaintop sign all revealing the impressive depth of the accumulation.


That accumulation was impressive indeed, with nearly five feet of fresh snow falling in December alone.

Video recently taken at the top of the mountain revealed high winds and blowing snow, a cold combination that added an icy intensity to an already dramatic winter event.

Here are some snapshots of the early December snowfall, a wintry wallop of a storm that promises primo holiday skiing.

The resort's distinctive vistas tell the frosty tale.
© Peter Morning/Mammoth Mountain
The resort's distinctive vistas tell the frosty tale.

Cozy cabin times at Tamarack Lodge and Resort.
© Peter Morning/Mammoth Mountain
Cozy cabin times at Tamarack Lodge and Resort.

Shoveling out: Snow was still falling on Monday, Dec. 5 with more in the forecast for December's second weekend.
© Mitchell Quiring/Mammoth Lakes Tourism
Shoveling out: Snow was still falling on Monday, Dec. 5 with more in the forecast for December's second weekend.

Chains were very much the order of the weekend around the area. As for the action on the mountain?
© Mitchell Quiring/Mammoth Lakes Tourism
Chains were very much the order of the weekend around the area. As for the action on the mountain? The Mammoth team says that it "... will be fully open as soon as crews can safely open the terrain."

Always check road conditions before visiting

Always check road conditions before visiting Mammoth Mountain and keep an eye on the destination's social pages for the latest on slope openings and what to expect with the coming storm.
 
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