Nicolás Maduro announces that Venezuela will annex territory in dispute with Guyana

Puma

The Living Force
FOTCM Member
It seems that one day Maduro got out of bed and decided to revive the dispute over a territory that formerly belonged to Venezuela, but geopolitical analysts say that it is a strategy of the Venezuelan President to perpetuate himself in power.

The story goes that in 1811 Venezuela gained independence from Spain. Next to its territory the Dutch had established a base, but after Napoleon's defeat, the British took over the area and created British Guyana. Venezuela and the British established the border through the Essequibo River, but English settlers began to occupy the western part of the river that belonged to Venezuela and the British government took advantage of this to appropriate the territory.

The dispute between Venezuela and the British originated over territory west of the river, but the United States interfered and in an "international arbitration" in 1899 awarded about 94 percent of the disputed territory to the British.

The issue remained low profile until 1962, when Venezuela renewed its claim, alleging that the arbitration award was invalid, and took the matter to the UN without success and in 2023 the International Court ruled that Venezuela was not right.

The disputed territory is rich in gold, diamonds, minerals, large reserves of fresh water and in the sea is the so-called Stabroek Block an important oil field that Guyana quickly granted its exploitation to U.S. oil company ExxonMobil
The Stabroek Block is a 6.6 million acre offshore oil reservoir off Guyana's Atlantic coast. In May 2015, ExxonMobil announced that it had made its first significant oil discovery within the block at the Liza 1​

Elections in Venezuela will be held in October 2024 and a defeat for the Maduro regime is predicted. There is no doubt that 2024 will be a very interesting year. The push of the ultra-right in America started with Milei in Argentina. Will a war in Venezuela prevent the fall of the left in that country?
Maduro could lose Venezuela's presidential election

Nicolás Maduro has been in power in Venezuela for 10 years. In that decade, he has overseen a period of economic collapse, corruption, a significant increase in poverty, environmental destruction and state repression of dissidents and the press. This has led to an exodus of more than 7 million Venezuelans.

Comment: Many of these Venezuelans driven by an "unknown force" head to Mexico in the hope of reaching the United States and fulfilling the American dream. Upon arriving at the border they come to a harsh reality. The United States does not want them.

Now Venezuela is at a crossroads that will define its next decade and will have crucial consequences for the world. Venezuela will hold its presidential elections in 2024, an election that Maduro could lose, provided the opposition participates united, the international community remains involved and citizens are inspired to mobilize.

Recently, two important events revealed a unique opportunity for the elections: first, the massive participation in the opposition primaries of October 22, which gave María Corina Machado, a former Venezuelan congresswoman, a solid first place as the unitary candidate.

Comment: Mexico will hold its elections in June 2024. Whatever happens, there will be for the first time a woman in the so-called presidential chair. This will undoubtedly give a propaganda boost to María Corina Machado.

Second, the regime did not prevent these elections from taking place either judicially or with violence. It was one of the concessions it made in a deal with Washington and the opposition in exchange for the United States easing sanctions imposed during Trump's term on the oil and gas industries.


So here is the war that Maduro needs

Tension between Venezuela and Guyana: Maduro mobilizes the Army and announces the annexation of the Essequibo by law

Two days after the referendum on the Essequibo, a territory disputed by Venezuela with Guyana, the government of Nicolás Maduro is moving forward to try to enforce what was approved on Sunday in a referendum that showed little interest in the streets, but which chavismo has described as a victory with 10.4 million voters, which has reawakened a crisis of credibility of the country's electoral authorities. This Tuesday, Maduro presented on television the new official map of the country with the Essequibo incorporated, without the delimitation in claim, during a Council of State and in Defense of the Nation in which he announced a series of measures and upcoming legislation to concretize the possession of the territory and its resources.

Brazil moves military vehicles and heavy artillery to its northern border with Guyana and Venezuela.

Maduro takes internal legal steps for annexation of Esequibo, of which he claims historical territorial rights.
✍️ Mohamed Irfaan Ali, president of #Guyana, says he is ready for war.
 
I have a feeling this will not go down well at all.

That territory has been in dispute for a very long time, why now? not sure maybe he needs some political points back home. But as much as I sympathize with their cause, I am not sure if Venezuela has it in them to take the territory and occupy it successfully, and doing it against the UN will only give them a reason to sanction and possibly even retaliate militarily.

Just a few first impressions without deeply looking into it recently.
 
Here we go...

Guyana's president says his country is preparing to defend itself from Venezuela over disputed area​


Guyana's president told The Associated Press on Wednesday that his country is taking every necessary step to protect itself from Venezuela, which has ordered its state-owned companies to explore and exploit oil and minerals in the vast Essequibo region, which Guyana considers its own.

When asked if he has requested military assistance, President Irfaan Ali said his government is reaching out to allies and regional partners, some of which Guyana has defense agreements with, to protect Essequibo. The region makes up two-thirds of the country.

“We take this threat very seriously, and we have initiated a number of precautionary measures to ensure the peace and stability of this region,” Ali said in the brief phone interview. He noted that Guyana’s Defense Force also is speaking with counterparts in other countries but did not say which ones.

“Should Venezuela proceed to act in this reckless and adventurous manner, the region will have to respond,” he said. “And that is what we’re building. We’re building a regional response.”


Venezuela condemns Guyana's warning of appealing to the U.S. Southern Command over the Essequibo

The Venezuelan government condemned on Wednesday the statements made by the president of Guyana, Irfaan Ali, who the night before announced that he is holding talks with the U.S. Southern Command and warned that he plans to denounce the matter before the United Nations Security Council "so that it may take the appropriate measures".

Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro announced on Tuesday a set of actions aimed at executing the results of the consultative referendum in defense of the Essequibo held on Sunday.

Among the measures are the granting of licenses for the exploration and exploitation of natural resources in the Essequibo territory, the initiation of a process to create the state of Guayana Esequiba, the creation of an Integral Defense Zone (ZODI), a census to attend to the population of that area and the disclosure of the map of Venezuela including the Essequibo.

 
Venezuela - Guyana situation

Major General Rodriguez Cabello was appointed head of the administration of the new Venezuelan territories, formerly part of Western Guyana.

Venezuelan troops have not yet entered the territory of the new region. There is no full-scale general mobilization. Military preparations are observed only in the eastern regions of the country and are so far of a limited nature.

A special branch of the oil company PDVSA has also been created, which will engage in oil production in new territories.

Venezuela raises stakes in border dispute, creates military zone to be carved out of Guyana​


In what is likely to further inflame tensions in the hemisphere, Venezuelan ruler Nicolás Maduro announced Tuesday the creation of a new military zone that would be in charge of defending an oil -and mineral-rich territory of neighboring Guyana that he’s claiming belongs to his nation.

Maduro also designated a general, Alexis Rodríguez Cabello, as the sole authority of the Essequibo, a chunk of land in Guyana slightly smaller than the state of Florida. He also ordered that the more than 125,000 Guyanese living in the area, which is mostly jungle, be granted Venezuelan citizenship.

 
And here we go, from the US embassy in Guyana

SOUTHCOM to Conduct Flight Over Guyana​


In collaboration with the Guyana Defence Force (GDF), the U.S. Southern Command (USSOUTHCOM) will conduct flight operations within Guyana on December 7. This exercise builds upon routine engagement and operations to enhance security partnership between the United States and Guyana, and to strengthen regional cooperation.

In addition to this exercise, USSOUTHCOM will continue its collaboration with the GDF in the areas of disaster preparedness, aerial and maritime security, and countering transnational criminal organizations.

The U.S. will continue its commitment as Guyana’s trusted security partner and promoting regional cooperation and interoperability.

Maduro already complained about it, but not sure he can ensure a victory by himself, not sure anyone can assist him, and I am not sure Russia would back them up if it's such an impulsive and aggressive move.
 
The official position of Russia
Foreign Ministry Speaker Zakharova called on Venezuela and Guyana to peacefully resolve the Essequibo dispute

The Russian Federation calls on Venezuela and Guyana to refrain from any actions around the disputed Essequibo area that could unbalance the situation and cause damage. This statement was made by the official representative of the Russian Foreign Ministry, Maria Zakharova, her comment was published on the website of the Foreign Ministry on December 8.

The diplomat noted that Russia is monitoring the situation and believes that the territorial dispute between the two states "should be resolved in a good-neighborly manner by finding peaceful mutually acceptable solutions." At the same time, the priority is to reduce tensions and strengthen trust between Venezuela and Guyana, Zakharova said.

"We oppose external pressure and interference in the affairs of sovereign states, especially when there are sensitive issues in relations between them that require "prudence" from third countries at both the public and private levels," she added.

In addition, the representative of the diplomatic department stressed the principled position of Moscow, which advocates the preservation of Latin America as a "zone of peace."
Спикер МИДа Захарова призвала Венесуэлу и Гайану мирно решить спор по Эссекибо
 
“Venezuela and the British established the border through the Essequibo River, but English settlers began to occupy the western part of the river that belonged to Venezuela and the British government took advantage of this to appropriate the territory.

“The dispute between Venezuela and the British originated over territory west of the river, but the United States interfered and in an "international arbitration" in 1899 awarded about 94 percent of the disputed territory to the British.”

Typical behaviour on the part of the Brits, inherited and mimicked by the US of A.
So much for the Monroe “doctrine”. In the jist of Victoria Nieulandt, “Fu**k Latin America!”
 
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In general, it seems to me that this is an inevitable consequence of the collapse of monopolarity in the world. The emergence of multipolarity in itself seems to be a good thing, the bad thing is that people still often do not find other solutions to problems other than war.
Brazil is ready to attack Venezuela in the event of an invasion of Essequibo
Correio Braziliense reports that Brazil plans to deploy additional military units to strengthen its presence on the border with Venezuela and Guyana. This decision was made against the background of an escalating dispute between Venezuela and Guyana over the Essequibo region.

According to the report, the Brazilian army will send additional wheeled armored vehicles to strengthen the borders. However, the exact scenario of Brazil's possible intervention in the conflict is still unclear. One of the assumptions is that if Venezuela invades Guyana through Brazil, the latter will receive the right to self-defense in accordance with Article 51 of the UN Charter.

The Brazilian press also notes that the country's authorities have been considering the possibility of conflict in the region since 1982. At the same time, local media express skepticism about Venezuela's military potential.
Бразилия готова атаковать Венесуэлу, в случае вторжения в Эссекибо

В целом мне видится, что это неизбежное следствие обрушения монополярности в мире. Само по себе становление многополярности вроде бы и неплохо, плохо то, что люди по прежнему зачастую не находят других решений проблем, кроме войны.
 
“Venezuela and the British established the border through the Essequibo River, but English settlers began to occupy the western part of the river that belonged to Venezuela and the British government took advantage of this to appropriate the territory.

“The dispute between Venezuela and the British originated over territory west of the river, but the United States interfered and in an "international arbitration" in 1899 awarded about 94 percent of the disputed territory to the British.”

Typical behaviour on the part of the Brits, inherited and mimicked by the US of A.
So much for the Monroe “doctrine”. In the jist of Victoria Nieulandt, “Fu**k Latin America!”
Yep!

And specially in that entire region, the brits have such a nasty history of intervention over centuries. But they were also instrumental in the creation of most of the South American states, by supporting, specially in the case of Venezuela, really blood thirsty individuals. Something similar happened with the Falkland/ Malvinas in 1982, the US intervened to ensure Britain would keep it despite being an island right next to Argentina, that the UK from all the way in the other hemisphere says its theirs, and they kept it.
 
UPDATE

Venezuela will not pass through Brazil to invade Guyana, Minister of Defense of Brazil

The Brazilian Minister of Defense, José Múcio Monteiro, declared that Brazil will not allow Venezuela to use its territory to invade Guyana.
According to him, without passing through Roraima, the only way to reach dictator Nicolás Maduro's forces is by sea.
Monteiro believes that Maduro's speeches about annexing part of Guyana's territory are merely a political maneuver. The minister does not believe the Venezuelan dictator will escalate the conflict.

"If it were close to the elections, I would be very worried. But he will not be a year trying, postponing the government," he commented. Monteiro emphasized that the government will guarantee the integrity of the Brazilian territory and the country will not get involved in a potential conflict.

In addition to this, Guyana will defend itself by all means if Venezuela tries to change its borders, the country's vice-president has said.
According to him, the possibility of closer defense cooperation with allies, including the United States, is being studied.
On the other hand, the vice-president pointed out that Guyana's army has about four thousand soldiers and Venezuela's army has more than 350 thousand.

photo_2023-12-15 06.51.59.jpeg

 
At least they're talking each other...
Source in french (12/14/2023)

"Essequibo: handshake between the presidents of Venezuela and Guyana

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The presidents of Guyana and Venezuela.

The two heads of state met on the Caribbean archipelago of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines to discuss the territorial dispute over the Essequibo, which has poisoned their relations since September.

The presidents of Venezuela and Guyana spoke for around two hours on Thursday about their territorial dispute over the Essequibo, punctuating their discussion on the Caribbean archipelago of St. Vincent and the Grenadines with a handshake in front of the cameras. Guyana's President Irfaan Ali said on leaving Thursday's meeting with his Venezuelan counterpart Nicolas Maduro over the Essequibo territorial dispute, that his country had "every right" to exploit its "sovereign space".

"Guyana has every right (...) to facilitate any investment, any partnership (....), to issue any license, to grant any concession in our sovereign space," he said in a statement to the press after a two-hour discussion with President Maduro in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines. He added that discussions concerning Essequibo, a territory rich in oil and natural resources administered by Georgetown and claimed by Caracas, would continue. Tensions have been running high since Guyana launched oil tenders in September, and Venezuela held a referendum on December 3 in response, on the possibility of attaching Essequibo to its territory,
territory of 160,000 km2, rich in oil and natural resources, administered by Georgetown and claimed by Caracas.
"Defusing tensions

Several observers believe that the meeting, organized under the aegis of CELAC and the Caribbean Community (CARICOM), may help to ease the pressure, but is unlikely to result in any major decisions. Sadio Garavini di Turno, former Venezuelan ambassador to Guyana, told AFP he expected at best a joint communiqué in which both sides would pledge to "continue discussions to defuse tensions". "I come with a mandate from the Venezuelan people, with a word of dialogue, with a word of peace, but to defend our rights", stressed Nicolas Maduro, who does not recognize the jurisdiction of the International Court of Justice (ICJ), the UN's highest court, which has been seized by Guyana.

Nicolas Maduro wants to negotiate with Guyana, while the latter, which has also referred the matter to the UN Security Council, believes that the ICJ is the only solution. Venezuela maintains that the Essequibo River should be the natural border, as it was in 1777 during the Spanish Empire. Caracas believes that the United Kingdom granted itself Venezuelan lands in the 19th century, and that the Geneva Agreement signed in 1966 - before Guyana's independence - lays the foundations for a negotiated settlement that must continue. Guyana believes that the border between the two countries dates back to English colonial times, and that it was ratified in 1899 by a Court of Arbitration in Paris. It is this border that is currently in force. Some 125,000 people, or one-fifth of Guyana's population, live in this territory covering two-thirds of its surface area.

"We're going to St. Vincent with great expectations and a great desire for peace, for conciliation," said Venezuelan Foreign Minister Yvan Gil on Monday, referring to possible "formulas" for "oil and gas cooperation". He stressed that Venezuela had worked "with all the governments of Guyana up until 2015", the year in which US giant ExxonMobil discovered vast oil deposits in the disputed territory. Guyana's recent tenders have rekindled this long-standing territorial dispute, which is causing concern across South America. An advisor to Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Celso Amorim, will take part in the meeting. Brazil has stepped up its military presence on its borders with both countries, and on Saturday urged Nicolas Maduro to refrain from "unilateral measures". The United States affirmed its "unwavering support for Guyana's sovereignty". Air exercises were carried out last week."
 

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Nicolás Maduro has ordered Venezuela's armed forces to begin "protective actions" in response to the deployment of a British warship off the coast of Guyana

Maduro orders "defensive actions" due to the arrival of a British ship off the coast of Guyana

Yvan Gil, Chancellor of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, categorically rejected "the arrival of the British Navy ship HMS Trent to the coasts of Guyana, which becomes an act of hostile provocation and a violation of the recent Argyle Declaration, assumed as a road map to address the territorial dispute over the Essequiba Guiana between Venezuela and Guyana".

Maduro has announced that he has ordered the Armed Forces as a whole to activate a "joint defensive action" in the eastern Caribbean and in the Atlantic strip in response to the "provocation" caused by the arrival of this warship of the British Navy.

The Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela categorically rejects the arrival of the British Navy ship HMS Trent to the coasts of Guyana, which becomes an act of hostile provocation and a violation of the recent Argyle Declaration, assumed as a roadmap to address the territorial dispute over the Essequiba Guiana between Venezuela and Guyana.

 
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