The Ice Age Cometh! Forget Global Warming!

Northern Italy covered with early snow

In the Italian commune of Livigno in Lombardy on Friday, September 25, there was heavy snowfall. Mountain ranges in Sondrio province were covered with snow. Locals shared photos and videos of the unusual September landscape on Facebook.

It snowed at night and in some places the temperature dropped to -2.1°C. The authorities warned local residents about the danger of ice, especially at mountain passes.

Roads are still open, but drivers are advised not to leave unnecessarily. In the mountains, serpentines are advised to move only on winter tires or using chains on wheels.

Additional danger is posed by trees bent under the weight of sticking and frozen wet snow.

 
6,000 sheep and cows stuck by the snow in the mountains in Savoy in the Glandon pass
A crisis unit is set up this Sunday in Saint-Colomban-des-Villards to feed and evacuate the animals. The fault lies with very heavy snowfall and snowdrifts of two meters which formed during the night of Friday to Saturday.

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6.000 sheep and ewes, about a hundred cows, divided into five flocks are trapped in the snow since Friday evening around 1.900 - 2.000 meters of altitude. Below, at 1.500 meters, we are dealing with 30 to 50 centimeters of snow! The icy wind has created snowdrifts two meters high in the area of the Col du Glandon.

An exceptional level of snow

So much snow at this altitude and at this time of the year is exceptional. The reference year is 1974. The snow had disappeared only in spring. Normally the last herds come down from the mountain pastures at the end of October.

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Pierre-Yves Bonnivard, the mayor of Saint-Colomban-des-Villards does not hide the unexpected nature of the situation, he who is also president of the USARP - Union for the Safeguarding of Pastoral and Rural Activities. As soon as they heard the weather forecast, the shepherds began to lower the herds that were much higher up. The snowy episode, combined with the wind, was more extreme than expected.

Pierre-Yves Bonnivard therefore triggered at dawn on Sunday morning the communal safeguard plan with a crisis unit in the town hall in conjunction with the Savoie department.

"Evacuating all the animals will take us almost a week. We have to feed them. - Pierre Yves Bonnivard."

First emergency, clearing snow from an access road to transport hay thanks to the department's services. Then, at noon on Sunday, to transport about twenty bales of hay, or 300 kilos of fodder. "Evacuating all the animals will take us almost a week. We can make a herd per day. So we have to feed them in the meantime."

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800 sheep of a flock could be evacuated as early as Saturday in Isère, but the others have to wait. "There is too much snow to scrape the ground and feed. We have a priority flock because some ewes are ready to give birth. We do everything so that there are no losses."

Especially since the climate situation is not going to solve the problem naturally. It is not ready to melt: it was - 6° at 1.900 meters of altitude this morning and we expect snow for next Thursday.
DeepL.
6.000 moutons et vaches coincés par la neige en montagne en Savoie dans le col du Glandon
 
A great example of the wandering Jet Steam, (due to the lack of current Sunspot activity), and the cause and effects.


+30 cm this morning, at @courchevel (photo of Nova Collie-1850m) and Les Arcs (photo of Seb Fayolle-2000m) in this month of September ... The episode of #neige kept its promises.




24 September 2020 Snip:
If you’ve completely packed away your winter clothes you might need to rethink your wardrobe with Australia’s southeast in for a “polar plunge”.

The Bureau of Meteorology on Thursday said a “complex low” will bring wet, windy and cold weather to southeast South Australia, Victoria, Tasmania and NSW from late Thursday through Sunday.

Temperatures “are likely” to be 4-10 degrees below average, the bureau said.

Weatherzone meteorologist Ben Domensino told Yahoo News Australia on Wednesday a “procession of fronts” could bring Adelaide and Melbourne’s coldest maximum temperatures for this late in spring, for the first time in more than a decade.

Spaceweather.com.
September 30 2020
Cosmic Rays Solar minimum is underway. The sun's magnetic field is weak, allowing extra cosmic rays into the solar system. Neutron counts from the University of Oulu's Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory show that cosmic rays reaching Earth in 2020 are near a Space Age peak.
Oulu Neutron Counts
Percentages of the Space Age average:
today: +8.2% High
48-hr change: -0.6%
downarrow.png

Max: +11.7% Very High (12/2009)
Min: -32.1% Very Low (06/1991)
explanation | more data
Updated 28 Sep 2020 @ 1600 UT
 
Last edited:
Corsican weather: Why was it so cold?

PLB on Wednesday 30 September 2020 at 13:46

It will not have escaped to anybody, our island has known a rather cold episode last weekend. Besides the wind, rain and thunderstorms, the maximum temperatures took on a winter color. This caused a deep depression over Europe and a high pressure system over the near Atlantic.

Corsica was particularly affected on September 26th and 27th, its summits having whitened prematurely!
"In Bastia, the drop was impressive" underlines Patrick Rebillout, director of the Meteo France Center in Ajaccio, "We recorded the lowest maxi for a month of September since 1955: 15.7 degrees on September 27th against 16.6 on September 29th 1955. The other weather stations are not to be outdone: 16.6 degrees in Ventiseri while the previous record was 17.1 on September 19th 1977.
In Marignana, 15 degrees against 16.4 in 2010, 10.1 in Bastelica against 12.9 in 2016, 11 in Bocognano against the previous record was 12.5 in 2007, 12.2 in Castirla against 16 in 1996. And the examples can be multiplied".

Although temperatures have since gradually and slowly recovered, they are still 2 or 3 degrees below seasonal averages.
We will have to wait until the middle of next week to return to near-normal autumn values. Until then, the water will have time to flow under the ... clouds. Next weekend will be rather gloomy!
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DeepL.
Météo corse : Pourquoi a-t-il fait aussi froid ?
 
People are waking up. But still in denial.

Sea ice spurred Little Ice Age
A picture from February 2012. The Oude Waal, under the smoke of Nijmegen in the Ooijpolder. The sun is shining, it is freezing hard and the frost-covered trees by the water contrast sharply with the bright blue sky above. In the distance the white plume of smoke from the Power Plant is visible. Hundreds of people skate on the thick ice. From the dike it looks like a teeming anthill. The enthusiastic screams of children are not in the air. You can buy biscuits and sweets at two different tents.

It looks like a painting by a Dutch master, I hear someone say. And then he is talking about Hendrick Avercamp, the most famous of the painters of typical Dutch winter landscapes. Avercamp lived in the midst of what we now call the Little Ice Age. The Little Ice Age ran from roughly 1550 to about 1850, but the cooling to it had started earlier, some say as early as the 14th century. During the Little Ice Age, the average temperatures in our area were about 1 to 2 degrees lower than today. There were far more cold winters than now, often starting in November and sometimes ending only in April.
Beautiful body of work

Avercamp was born in Amsterdam in the winter of 1585, but soon moved to Kampen. He was deaf and dumb and specialized in drawing at a young age. As a lover of painting winter scenes, he was more than happy to have fun during the Little Ice Age. It was hit almost every year and with the help of the sketches he made during the winters, he was able to continue working on his winter landscapes during the summers. A beautiful oeuvre was created, which for winter lovers - especially now that winters usually skip in our time - is more than worth a look.

The background to the Little Ice Age is still being discussed. The cooling came after the medieval climate optimum, in which temperatures were comparable to even slightly higher than now. It was the time when the south of Greenland was colonized by the Vikings, where wine could be grown as far as the British Isles and when even peaches grew in Flanders.
What made the climate suddenly change?

From the 16th century, all of this was suddenly no longer possible. The exact causes of the cooling at that time are still a bit of a guess. According to one scientist, some explosive volcanic eruptions were behind the sudden changes in our climate, others are intrigued by the changes on the surface of the sun that were taking place at the time. For example, the low point of the Little Ice Age seemed to coincide with the period known today as the Maunder Minimum, when there were hardly any sunspots on the surface of the sun. The Maunderminimum started in 1645 and lasted until 1715.

A new study, conducted by scientists from Norway, Sweden, Denmark and the United States, adds a new one to the possible list of causes. From research in the vicinity of Iceland and Greenland, they have been able to reconstruct how the amount of sea ice, which was driven south from the Arctic Ocean through Fram Street on the east side of Greenland and ended up in the Northern Ocean, suddenly became very strong from roughly 1300. increased.

This made the seawater of the North Atlantic Ocean colder and sweeter. And it should have been this development that helped trigger the Little Ice Age, the researchers think. The period in which much more sea ice penetrated the North Atlantic Ocean than usual lasted until the end of the 14th century and then ended as abruptly as it had started. The climate change, which was (partly) the result, lasted longer and lasted until the middle of the 19th century.
External float not always necessary

According to the study authors, these events show that the climate doesn't always need an external driver to change suddenly. This is in line with research by the KNMI, among others, which shows that even in times of a warming climate, such as now, it can still be considerably colder for several decades. Various model simulations have already come up with such, reasonably inexplicable extremes.

However, the research now published also leaves many questions open. One of those questions is what exactly was the cause of that suddenly larger ice transport from the Arctic to the North Atlantic? Was that a change in the Arctic wind regime that pushed the sea ice south? Or was it simply that more ice was formed as temperatures dropped, which made it easier to escape? If the latter is true, it could again be a bit of a "Chicken and the Egg" story.

Chances of recurrence now very small



It moves missing in the southeast of France after rains of up to 400 mm https://bit.ly/3ldQCqF Images and data of the effects of storm Alex

#orages and swell at #Biarritz#paysbasque this morning, wind from West to West 80 km / h in gusts @Ville2Biarritz
 
Two recent articles on the Mini Ice Age from Electroverse:
Very interesting articles, thanks Gary. Just saw this article on Electroverse, about the impact of the Grand Solar minumum in Spain:

Today, the impacts of the Grand Solar Minimum are seen in Spain.
Across the higher elevations of the Iberian Peninsula as much as half a meter (1.64 ft) of snow has accumulated — totals that would be at home after a powerful winter storm, not least one in late-Sept/early-Oct. And along with the early snow, the Cogulla weather station, located in Cerler (which sits at an elevation of 2,300m), also registered a teeth-chattering low of -5.9C (21F).
At the higher elevations the snow will now not go away, warns the guard of the Góriz refuge Joan María Vendrell: it is here to stay for the season.

This is how glaciers build.

This is also how ice ages begin
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The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.
 
I see that snow has fallen in England and other places, but near St. Petersburg (Russia) all last week the weather was abnormally WARM (+ 17C + 19C) and it was warm at night, although at this time there should be night FROZES. Nothing of the kind, the trees are full of leaves, I have watermelons blooming in my greenhouse (in October!). I went outside in shorts during the day! Heat records were broken every day in the history of observations.
But I see that the weather in general has become very UNSTABLE and UNEXPECTED. Before that, at the beginning of September it was cold, on September 17 we even turned on the central heating (earlier than usual).
In addition, the spring was very cold, frosts literally until 30-31 MAY, there was no foliage on the trees at all until the beginning of JUNE! I saw trees blooming without leaves at all!
Summer was also very strange, after the cold the heat came + 30C, and then it got colder again and heavy rains and hail began. A lot of hail this summer.
 
In the lower parts of the interior of BC the thermometer decided to announce its winter drop over the last few days. Snow has been building at higher elevations, and now steadily inching its way down slope. Frost this morning followed by light snow - cold winds. Tomorrow is to be colder, so stripped the greenhouse and covered some flowers with hope, which will likely not 'show' again. The little chart on my phone shows - 3 c in the am tomorrow, and by Sunday it comes in at lovely -13 c, with snow (great :rolleyes:). Halloween is weeks away, so will have to see if the weather become more entrenched or it eases off for a charitable late October and early November (there is more to do outside before the crunch of winter).

Seems just the other week it was wildfires and dry furnace heat; all forgotten now.
 
Early snow in Polish mountains. Biggest since 10 years.


At least 20 centimeters of snow has fallen. What fell from the roof totally blocked us and we just can't go down - said Janusz, the owner of one of the guesthouses. He added that the snow is very wet. - There hasn't been so much snow for 10 years as I am here yet - he said.
 
Possible impacts of a future grand solar minimum on climate: Stratospheric and global circulation changes
First published: 28 April 2015 A. C. Maycock 55-69 minutes

Current space weather NOAA Saturday, Oct. 17, 2020
SOLAR FLARE ACTIVITY: Departing active region AR2775 unleashed a pair of C-class solar flares on Oct. 16th. The strongest (C3.5) propelled a cloud of plasma into space; it will not hit Earth. UV radiation from the flares briefly ionized the top of Earth's atmosphere, causing minor shortwave radio brownouts over South America: map. Aurora alerts: SMS Text.




Just a lot of hokum. Just speculation with lots of red flags. Buzz words, drought, heat etc. equals Climate pron 101 vs Reality.

U.S. Winter Outlook: Cooler North, warmer South with ongoing La Nina
October 15, 2020 Weather Climate climate outlooks winter Snip
Persistent drought dominates the Western landscape
NOAA’s winter forecast for the U.S. favors warmer, drier conditions across the southern tier of the U.S., and cooler, wetter conditions in the North, thanks in part to an ongoing La Nina. Forecasters at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center — a division of the National Weather Service — are also closely monitoring persistent drought during the winter months ahead, with more than 45% of the continental U.S. now experiencing drought.

"NOAA's timely and accurate seasonal outlooks and short-term forecasts are the result of improved satellite observations, more detailed computer forecast modeling, and expanding supercomputing capacity," said Neil Jacobs, Ph.D., acting NOAA administrator. "From expansive and multi-hazard winter storms to narrow but intense lake effect snow, NOAA will provide the necessary information to keep communities safe."



 



 
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