Near-Earth objects and close calls

SpaceWeather reports of the "strongest outburst of Andromedid meteors ever detected by Canadian meteor orbit radar". An event that has taken researchers entirely by surprise.

It says that they're remnants of Biela's comet that swung by earth in 1852, and that Laura wrote about here: Comet Biela and Mrs. O'Leary's Cow --

ANDROMEDID METEOR OUTBURST: The Andromedids are back. Over the weekend astronomers reported an outburst of more than 100 faint meteors per hour. "[It was] the strongest outburst of Andromedid meteors ever detected by the Canadian Meteor Orbit Radar (CMOR)," says Peter Brown of the University of Western Ontario. This radar sky map shows a hot spot of meteor activity on Nov. 28th:​

The shower's not over yet. "The current outburst is ongoing and it may be another few days or even a week before the activity ramps down," says Brown. "These meteors are too faint to see with the naked eye, but they are easy targets for our radar."​

Andromedids are debris from Biela's Comet, known to historians as "the comet that split in two." 3D/Biela started to fall apart not long after it was discovered in 1772. It was a double comet when it swung by Earth in 1852 and, after that, was never seen again. In 1872 and 1885, thousands of meteors shot out of the constellation Andromeda as Earth passed through Biela's remains. Chinese records described "stars that fell like rain."


Above: Andromedids on the night of November 27, 1872, by Amédée Guillemin [ref]​

Then the Andromedids vanished, too. The shower has been weak or absent entirely since the late 19th century. Only a surprise outburst in 2011 signaled that Biela's debris might still be lurking nearby. This week's activity is even more promising.​

Bill Cooke of NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office (MEO) is one of several experts who have been modeling Biela's debris streams, hoping to forecast a return. "Our models generally do not do well in predicting the timing or intensity," he says. "However, this year our model got the timing roughly correct." This plot shows current radar data (red dots) vs. predicted debris stream crossings:​

According to Cooke's model, the outburst on Nov. 28th was caused by a stream of dust laid down in 1655--interestingly before the comet fell apart. "We didn't think the 1655 crossing would produce much of anything," confesses Cooke. "So the outburst came as a bit of a surprise."

A team of astronomers led by Paul Wiegert (including Brown) had already predicted a strong naked-eye Andromedid outburst in December 2023. If they are right, the display two years from now could yield as many as 200 bright meteors an hour, surpassing even the Perseids and Geminids. The current outburst is providing new data for their stream models, and could help improve the predictions.​

Stay tuned for updates as the shower continues.​

Note: The Canadian Meteor Orbit Radar is operated through a cooperative agreement between Western University’s Meteor Physics Group and NASA’s Meteoroid Environment Office.​
A spectacular flash was seen in the vicinity of the Popocatepetl volcano in the early morning hours of this Thursday, December 2 at 1:00 a.m.

The cameras of the National Center for Disaster Prevention (Cenapred) that constantly monitor the activity of the colossus captured the light that appeared on the right side of the image.

Some people on social networks believe that it was a meteorite, while others that it was a shooting star, the truth is that the authorities have not spoken until now.

Espectacular destello en el Popocatépetl sorprende, pudo ser meteorito
This is getting some press coverage. Its orbit will cross from outside Earth orbit to inside this Saturday, then cross back out in mid February.
In mythology Nereus was "the old man of the sea" and his consort was Doris.

Nereus is a very small asteroid whose orbit crosses the orbit of Earth. NASA JPL has classified Nereus as a "Potentially Hazardous Asteroid" due to its predicted close pass(es) with Earth.
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