Nagorno-Karabakh War - Armenia vs Azerbaijan

Ursus Minor

The Living Force
FOTCM Member
SOUTHFRONT CLAIMS THE FALL OF SHUSHA

Intense clashes in the areas of Martuni and Shusha were ongoing for the entire last week. Nonetheless, on the evening of November 7, Azerbaijani units were able to achieve notable progress in the battle for this key Armenian stronghold by reaching its northeastern countryside and disrupting the road link between Shusha and Stepanakert. Some Azerbaijani units even entered the town itself.

On the morning of November 8, clashes there continued and, in the afternoon, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev announced that Azerbaijani forces had captured the town.

Read on at southfront.org

The current Armenian leadership has been actively working in an attempt to gain support of the United States and the European Union to pressure Azerbaijan and Turkey to agree on some kind of ceasefire that would allow the Armenian forces to avoid a total defeat. Nonetheless, so far, these efforts have led to no results as the Western world is more concerned regarding the negative tendencies in the US amid the controversial elections that led to the alleged victory of Joe Biden. As to Russia, with which Yerevan had been destroying relations over the previous years, it is not likely to directly intervene in the war on the side of Armenia if there is no direct threat to sovereign Armenian borders or the undeniable evidence of ethnic cleansing of Armenians on the territories captured by the Azerbaijani-Turkish bloc.

As far as I understand there are no regular Armenian troops involved in the conflict, merely the Artsakh militia forces. Armenia has never declared Nagorno-Karabakh as part of its territory. (Please correct me if I'm wrong).

Another factor is Iran. Tehran has already concentrated a large group of forces on the border with Karabakh. This group is much larger than that needed to contain some incidents that may appear on the border in the current conditions. Iran as well as Russia are not interested in the further destabilization of the region. Therefore, while the current government in Yerevan cannot be described as being allied to them, they will likely contribute additional diplomatic efforts and pressure to the sides to de-escalate the conflict. The Turks and Azerbaijanis fully understand this situation and thus their current goal is to make as many military achievements as possible in order to set conditions for securing of these gains on the diplomatic scene.
 

Ursus Minor

The Living Force
FOTCM Member
Some background on the N-K/Aserbaidschan ceasefire:

southfront.org

Russian peacekeepers are deploying to Nagorno-Karabakh after a permanent ceasefire was established in the region at 00:00 local time on November 10. 1,970 troops, 90 armored personnel carriers and 380 units of other equipment are set to be deployed in the region. The core of the peacekeeping contingent will be units of the 15th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade.

According to the statement signed by President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev, Prime Minister of Armenia Nikol Pashinyan and President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin, Azerbaijani and Armenian forces halt their operations and keep the positions that they currently control. The sides also agreed on exchange of prisoners of war.

Additionally, Baku and Yerevan agreed on the following steps:

– Armenia should return control of the Kalbajar district to Azerbaijan by November 15, and the Lachin district by December 1, 2020. The 5km-wide Lachin corridor will be kept to ensure the connection of Nagorno-Karabakh with Armenia. The town of Shusha remains in the hands of Azerbaijan. In addition, by November 20, Armenia should return control of the Agdam district and a part of the Gazakh district to Azerbaijan.

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The Lachin corridor (encircled)​

In the next three years, the sides will agree on a plan for the construction of a new traffic route between Stepanakert and Armenia along the Lachin corridor. When the route is created, the Russian peacekeeping contingent will be re-deployed to protect it.

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Scene at the Lachin corridor

All economic and transport links in the region will be unblocked. Armenia will take steps to provide transport links between the Azerbaijani mainland and the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic. This will be overseen and secured by Russian border guards. It is planned to ensure the construction of new transport communications for this purpose.

Expectedly, the November 10 peace led to a deep political crisis in Armenia, with chaos in the parliament and the strengthening of calls to dismiss Pashinyan from his post. In its own turn, the Pashinyan group fiercely resists this scenario pretending that it was not responsible for the loss in the war. In fact, the outcome of the current Nagorno-Karabakh war was inevitable taking into account the foreign and internal policy posture of Soros-linked Prime Minister Pashinyan and his inner circle that seized power as a result of the coup in 2018. SouthFront in detail forecasted the war in Nagorno-Karabakh and its outcome in its analysis “Crisis in Armenia and Balance of Power in South Caucasus” released in June 2018.

It looks like the deep state puppets inserted in 2018 have come to the end of their road.

Meanwhile Russia has been able to assert its predominance in the region with boots and equipment on the ground.

More from SouthFront:

How the Soros-trained Armenian Government Lost the Karabakh war



 

Ursus Minor

The Living Force
FOTCM Member
As much as I dislike Soros and his foundation they cannot have funded the Armenian genocide which took place between 1915 and 1923.
 

sToRmR1dR

The Living Force
FOTCM Member
The Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian is planning to visit Armenia and Azerbaijan, after Israel established a large military base in Azerbaijan.

By Elena Teslova - 11.10.2021

(Translated by Google)

US warns Israel not to intervene in conflict with Iran over its new missiles

2021-10-11
 

youlik

Dagobah Resident
It seems that the Azerbaijanis decided to take advantage of a convenient, in their opinion, moment and improve their positions in Karabakh

The Azerbaijani army has launched Operation Retribution. Preparation for a new Karabakh war is over (3 videos)

The Azerbaijani Armed Forces have been transferring forces to the Lachin and Zanzegur corridors since April. The Russian peacekeeping contingent tried to prevent the resumption of the Karabakh war to the last. The active phase was supposed to begin, according to intelligence sources, on August 5.

The leadership of the peacekeeping contingent has known about this since March and has been preparing for it. The only question remains whether Russian peacekeepers or a limited contingent of the Russian Armed Forces will be used or not.

The formal reason was the death of an Azerbaijani serviceman as a result of shelling. I got an insider from a subscriber from Azerbaijan - contract workers are being massively summoned from vacations in the country. Apparently, Azerbaijan has been given the command to unfreeze the conflict in order to create additional points of tension for Russia against the background of its own, or Azerbaijan itself has decided to continue the war against the Armenians, hoping that Russia occupied by Ukraine will not come to the aid of the Armenians.

So far, the Azerbaijani army has carried out the operation "Retaliation", the Azerbaijani Defense Ministry reports. "The Kyrkhyz height was taken under control, as well as Sarbaba and a number of other important dominant heights along the Karabakh ridge of the Lesser Caucasus. The divisions are carrying out engineering work to create new positions and lay supply routes. As part of the operation, several combat positions of Armenian armed formations were destroyed, an air strike was carried out on a military unit in the Upper Oratag settlement of the former Aghdam district. As a result, the manpower of the Armenian armed formations was destroyed and wounded, as well as several D-30 howitzers, military vehicles and a large amount of ammunition were destroyed," the ministry said.

The birds sang that in Artsakh, during the backstage negotiations, the Azerbaijanis agreed to implement the "Kosovo scenario": to wait until September with the closure of the Lachin corridor.

Chronicle of events today August 3:

Since 6 a.m., the Azerbaijani Air Force has been conducting reconnaissance using Turkish Bayraktar TB2 UAVs to the west and east of the Lachin corridor. Reinforcements are being transferred from Ganja by army aviation helicopters.

At 10 a.m., the first strike was launched from the Bayraktar TB2 UAV at the Armenian post at Sarydag height. Two hours later, another blow was struck and a battle broke out on the contact line to the west of the village of Yehtsaoh. Artillery strikes are being carried out on the positions of the Defense Army. At least seven Armenian servicemen were injured.

There are battles at Martakert in the north-eastern sector. As a result of the UAV strike, at least one Armenian serviceman was killed and six others were wounded.

The Azerbaijani Armed Forces are concentrating forces near the village of Parukh, which they managed to occupy in March-April of this year. Most likely, an attempt will be made to develop the spring success and occupy the dominant heights near the Temple.

The Artsakh Defense Army is moving reinforcements to dangerous areas. Russian peacekeepers from Armenian posts are firing warning shots.
Азербайджанская армия начала операцию "Возмездие". Подготовка к новой Карабахской войне закончена (3 видео) смотреть онлайн в хорошем качестве
 

youlik

Dagobah Resident
While we have slowed down, we are looking at what will happen next

Russian military stopped Azerbaijan's attack in Karabakh, but the risk of clashes has increased
The Russian military has restored the Azerbaijani military operation "Retaliation".

The Russian military involved in the peacekeeping mission on the territory of Armenia and Karabakh managed to prevent the further offensive of the Azerbaijani army and stabilize the situation in the region, despite the fact that tension is observed here.

It is known that the Russian peacekeeping forces promptly responded to violations by Azerbaijan, and therefore successfully prevented further escalation.

It is still unknown how serious the situation in the region is at the moment, but Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan called on the Russian peacekeeping contingent to influence Baku, the outbreak of the conflict is unacceptable.

"We expect that Russian peacekeepers will prevent any attempt to cross the line of contact in Nagorno–Karabakh, and the Azerbaijani units that have penetrated beyond this line of contact will be withdrawn from there," Pashinyan said.

Azerbaijan, in turn, put forward ultimatum conditions related to the demilitarization of the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic, noting that otherwise there will be no dialogue.
Российские военные остановили атаку Азербайджана в Карабахе, но риск столкновений возрос
 

Nević Nenad

The Living Force
Azeris forgot that they are not blond and blue eyed christians, so that no one will give a damn if Russia rocket them to oblivion. Plus, great oportunity for Russia to get rid of one (Azerbaijan) of the West's oil supliers.
 

youlik

Dagobah Resident
While we have slowed down, we are looking at what will happen next
That's what's happening. Azerbaijan is bending its line
2022-08-27

Azerbaijan has brought more than 50 army trucks and armored vehicles into Karabakh, occupying Lachin, Zabukh and Sus
Azerbaijani troops entered three settlements in Karabakh.
A few hours ago, at least 50 military vehicles of the Azerbaijani army were introduced into the territory of Karabakh. At the moment, it is known that army trucks and armored vehicles have entered the territory of three settlements, which indicates that at the moment this territory is under the full control of the Azerbaijani army.

On the presented video footage, you can see how the Azerbaijani military enter the territory of three settlements in Karabakh. At least 50 vehicles can be seen on the video frames and pictures, at the same time, about a thousand Azerbaijani servicemen have been brought in here, who are likely to exercise control over this territory.

Earlier, residents of the localities of Lachin, Sus and Zabukh were ordered to leave their homes due to the fact that the territory was transferred to the control of Azerbaijan, which led to numerous protests, which resulted, among other things, in an attempt to block transport links, however, at the same time, this did not prevent Baku from taking under the control of a significant territory of the region.
Азербайджан ввёл в Карабах более 50 армейских грузовиков и бронеавтомобилей, заняв Лачин, Забух и Сус
 
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