Russia "plugged" into Ukraine will be a little less active. At least for a while. Nothing will change there, nothing will reverse, but this stalemate will continue. Russia now views the whole situation as “hold-on” to see if Europe can withstand the stall of many supplies. As if she was waiting for the decision of the states separately in relation to what is happening now. In my opinion, the conflict in Ukraine will be active, but not very developmental. It is a waiting time.
This is interesting, I have seen lately how the entire game of the US is to blackmail Europe into having to choose to make enemies with Russia. That is at least half of the game of control, keeping Europe weak, then jumping in to save them at higher costs, and breaking Russia and the EU's ties, it hurts them both, but at least Russia can, and has indeed been reacting, but the EU... they're simply stuck between a psycho and a hard choice